IN THIS ISSUE
Top Articles
Big Builder News
Market Intelligence

News for Product Manufacturers from Hanley Wood CEO Frank Anton

Business 101 Revisited

My wife has an MBA. So, not surprisingly, she's the one who reads the business books that promise to reveal the secrets of good management in 300 pages or less. I have a master's in journalism, earned because I wanted to be a sportswriter. So, not surprisingly, I'm the one who reads the sports pages, first thing, every day.

But with the management of my business being made so difficult by the collapse of the housing industry, I recently forced myself to read a rather old magazine article and a recent report from a consulting firm, each of which promised to offer sage business advice on managing during a downturn. Having survived in business through four housing downturns, I really wasn't expecting either the article or the report to tell me something I didn't already know. And, in fact, neither broke entirely new ground. But both made powerful points that, I think, bear repeating here.

First, this from a June 2001 article, "Moving Upward in a Downturn," from The Harvard Business Review: "Contrary to conventional wisdom, downturn winners avoid diversification. ... What does make sense is focus, creating ballast by reinforcing the core business. ... Concentrate as many resources as possible on playing to win on the main field of competition." (If I had 1,000 housing starts for every media executive who told me Hanley Wood should diversify, the housing recession would be over!)

The following points are all from a new report from Booz & Company. Let's begin with: "It makes sense to get ready for a worse outcome rather than to simply hope for a better one." (Our most pessimistic projections about housing activity have in every case been too optimistic.)

The next point seems obvious — "Stay focused on your best businesses, your best products and your best customers" — but it's nonetheless easy to get sidetracked and eventually dead-ended looking for too many new ideas and new customers to buy them.

The next three points seem to me hugely important and very related. First, this: "Strong and weak companies alike may have too much capacity ... too much business overhead, and too much staff." (A year or so ago it didn't seem like we had enough of any of those.) Second: "Complexity and capacity are the handmaidens of excessive overhead." (Overengineering and good times go hand in hand.) And third: "Avoid using pricing to secure the volume you need to cover fixed costs you shouldn't have in the first place." (Amen.)

The 15-year housing boom was fun while it lasted. Almost everybody prospered, but at the same time just about everybody fell into the same traps — and all the traps were triggered when housing starts collapsed. Now, none of us can wait for a revived housing industry (or a federal bailout) to come to the rescue. We'll have to save ourselves.

Send e-mail to Frank Anton

News and Trends from Hanley Wood Magazines

Battening Down the Hatches
BUILDER's "State of the Industry" survey shows that home builders are cutting staff and shifting their focus. (BUILDER, January 2009)

ProSales Dealer of the Year: Erie Materials
Material Difference: Erie Materials of Syracuse, N.Y., combines service and innovation to spell success (ProSales, January 2009)

Special Report: Beyond the Bubble
REMODELING's January feature package looks at what's coming down the pike for remodelers -- and how they can cope. (REMODELING, January 2009)

Blueprint for 2009
MULTIFAMILY EXECUTIVE scoured the industry to identify the key challenges and opportunities within each of the industry's core competencies. Here are nine resolutions that, if kept by companies, should pave the way to success in 2009. (MULTIFAMILY EXECUTIVE, January 2009)

Capitol Access
A look at who's who on the Hill when it comes to lobbying for a second housing stimulus. (BIG BUILDER, Jan. 22, 2009)

Construction Expertise on Ice?
Hope is on the horizon as plans come together for infrastructure spending. (CONCRETE CONSTRUCTION, January 2009)

How Are You Feeling?
ARCHITECT's latest Confidence Survey reveals a profession very nervous about its present and near future. (ARCHITECT, December 2008)

The New American Home 2009
The New American Home 2009 rejuvenates modern single-family living with a balance of contemporary lines and comfortable living spaces, along with an impressive level of environmental consciousness. (BUILDER, January 2009)

Return to top

Top Developments Affecting the Nation's Biggest Public Builders

Mortgage Bankers Expect 'Continued Decline' in New-Home Sales in '09
Association repeats its opposition to mortgage cramdowns and advocates for expanding housing tax credit to all buyers.

December New-Home Sales Drop 14.7 Percent
Sales equate to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 331,000. An estimated 482,000 new homes sold in 2008, 37.8 percent below 2007's 776,000.

Toll Execs: 3.99-Percent 30-Year Mortgages 'Making the Phones Ring'
Builder's offer of 30-year fixed rate mortgage to qualified buyers at a discounted interest rate has inquiries pouring in.

Paul Hylbert Presses Dealers To Step Up Lobbying
In an address during the ProSales annual Excellence Awards breakfast in Las Vegas, ProBuild CEO and NLBMDA chair Hylbert cites four key issues in Washington that LBM should push.

Multifamily Real Estate Takes Recessionary Lumps, Panel Says
NAHB panel says economic pain is impacting multifamily industry, and 2009 starts forecast will be cut by half.

Green Finds From the International Builders’ Show
A selection of noteworthy eco-friendly products from the show in Las Vegas..

Stock's Part-Year Operating Loss Doubles
America's No. 2 LBM dealer posts $110 million loss from September through December on 23-percent fall in revenue.

Consumers Rethink Home-Buying Priorities
Buyers want ‘Wii-sized’ rooms, a home office, and energy efficiency in their next house, according to research done by the NAHB and Better Homes & Gardens magazine.

Return to top

Housing Statistics and Analysis from Hanley Wood Market Intelligence

  • In the week ending January 16th, the MBA’s seasonally-adjusted Purchase Index increased to 303.1 from 295.8 in the previous week. The latest figure reflects a 2.47 percent increase from last week but a 31.1% drop from the same period last year. National average mortgage rates increased to 5.12% in the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey released weekly by Freddie Mac on January 22nd. This was the first weekly increase for rates since the end of October as the faltering economy and government intervention drove average 30-year fixed rates to their lowest levels since at least 1971.
  • Lower rates helped existing home sales to rebound in December. Annualized sales of total existing homes in December rebounded 6.5% from November levels to 4.74 million units. Sales of existing homes are still down 3.5% from the 4.91 million units in December 2007. This was the first monthly increase in annualized existing home sales since September. Median existing home prices in December continued to drop and declined to $175,400, which is the lowest it has been since May 2003. That is now the sixth straight month that median existing home prices have declined. In December, the number of existing homes on the market dropped 11.7% to a preliminary 3,676,210 units. These are the lowest levels of existing home inventory since January 2007. The increase in sales pace and drawdown in inventory units pushed months of supply down to 9.3 months, which is the lowest it has been since June 2007. Lower rates and falling prices have pushed the existing home affordability ratio in December to 63.1%, which is the highest it has been since we started tracking the field in January 1990.
More from Hanley Wood Market Intelligence
Return to top
Remldeing Leadership Conference Logo Remodeling Leadership Conference 2009 Sponsorships Available

The 2009 Remodeling Leadership Conference will be May 14-16 at The Westin Alexandria in Alexandria, Va. This year’s theme is achieving and maintaining business health in good times and bad. The RMLC provides an invaluable opportunity for suppliers and manufacturers to network with some of the best prospects and most forward-thinking pros in the industry. One of the conference highlights is the annual Big50 Awards gala dinner honoring the newly inducted Big50 companies. This event draws representatives from the industry’s biggest and most successful firms from around the country, and is prominently featured in the Remodeling magazine. For sponsorship information, contact Ron Spink at 202-736-3431 or e-mail rspink@hanleywood.com.

 

Manage your e-mail newsletter subscription:

  • To subscribe, click here and send the e-mail message; in the message body, please include your name, title, and company.
  • To unsubscribe, click here.

Want to make sure that you keep receiving this e-mail newsletter?
Be sure to add us to your e-mail address book!

Big Builder Stock Ticker | Industry Events | Contact Us | Hanley Wood Business Media | Send E-Mail to Frank Anton

Published by Hanley Wood, LLC, One Thomas Circle NW, Suite 600, Washington, DC 20005
COPYRIGHT HANLEY WOOD, LLC. Unauthorized reproduction prohibited